── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Carreno Busta
Dusan Lajovic
68%32%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 54% / 46%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Dusan Lajovic
36th · below avg
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Dusan Lajovic
52th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#56
model rank
#131
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
SRB
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pablo Carreno BustaDusan Lajovic
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay33
Grass01
Hard20
── 9 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-09-01Seville CHClayQFDusan Lajovic6-4 3-6 6-3
2022-06-27WimbledonGrassR128Dusan Lajovic3-6 6-4 RET
2021-07-12HamburgClayQFPablo Carreno Busta7-6(4) 6-3
2020-08-24Cincinnati MastersHardR64Pablo Carreno Busta7-5 6-1
2017-03-06Indian Wells MastersHardR16Pablo Carreno Busta6-4 7-6(5)
2015-05-17NiceClayR16Dusan Lajovic6-3 4-6 7-5
2014-05-11Rome MastersClayQ2Pablo Carreno Busta6-2 2-6 6-3
2013-06-10Blois CHClayQFDusan Lajovic6-3 1-6 6-1
2009-04-06Egypt F6ClayR16Pablo Carreno Busta7-5 4-6 6-4