── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Carreno Busta
Marton Fucsovics
56%44%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 17% / 83%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Marton Fucsovics
53th · average
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Marton Fucsovics
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#59
model rank
#75
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
HUN
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Marton Fucsovics
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Pablo Carreno Busta4-6 7-6(5) 6-2
2021-03-15DubaiHardR32Marton Fucsovics6-7(5) 6-3 6-2