── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Carreno Busta
Marton Fucsovics
51%49%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 11% / 89%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Marton Fucsovics
56th · average
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Marton Fucsovics
89th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#56
model rank
#59
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
HUN
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pablo Carreno BustaMarton Fucsovics
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
Hard01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Pablo Carreno Busta4-6 7-6(5) 6-2
2021-03-15DubaiHardR32Marton Fucsovics6-7(5) 6-3 6-2