── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Yoshihito Nishioka
67%33%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
20th · below avg
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Yoshihito Nishioka
57th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#56
model rank
#128
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ESP
country
JPN
188cm
height
170cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Yoshihito Nishioka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-17 | Winston-Salem | Hard | R64 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-0 6-3 |
| 2018-08-06 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-0 0-0 RET |