── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Thanasi Kokkinakis
76%24%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Thanasi Kokkinakis
84th · strong
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Thanasi Kokkinakis
49th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#164
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Thanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-5 4-6 1-0 RET |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-5 4-6 1-0 RET |