── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Thanasi Kokkinakis
73%27%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 38% / 62%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Thanasi Kokkinakis
83th · strong
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Thanasi Kokkinakis
54th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#56
model rank
#149
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Thanasi Kokkinakis
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-5 4-6 1-0 RET |