── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Jordan Thompson
57%43%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 85% / 15%
Grass: 17% / 83%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Jordan Thompson
65th · average
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Jordan Thompson
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-15 | Davis Cup Finals RR: AUS vs ESP | Hard | RR | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2-6 6-2 7-6(3) |
| 2021-06-21 | Mallorca | Grass | QF | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-04-19 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-4 6-0 |