── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Botic Van De Zandschulp a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Carreno Busta
Botic Van De Zandschulp
47%53%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 37% / 63%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Botic Van De Zandschulp
47th · average
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Botic Van De Zandschulp
87th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#59
model rank
#48
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
NED
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Botic Van De Zandschulp
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardQ1Pablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-2
2024-10-02Shanghai MastersHardR128Botic Van De Zandschulp7-6(5) 6-2
2022-05-02Madrid MastersClayR64Botic Van De Zandschulp6-7(6) 7-6(1) 6-3