── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 69% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Sebastian Ofner
69%31%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 56% / 44%
Grass: 25% / 75%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Sebastian Ofner
60th · average
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Sebastian Ofner
15th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#136
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
AUT
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Sebastian Ofner
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Alicante CH | Clay | SF | Pablo Carreno Busta | 3-6 6-3 6-4 |