── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Carreno Busta
Billy Harris
84%16%
Hard: 83% / 17%
Clay: 90% / 10%
Grass: 27% / 73%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Billy Harris
13th · poor
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Billy Harris
6th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#56
model rank
#177
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
GBR
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pablo Carreno BustaBilly Harris
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardQ2Pablo Carreno Busta7-5 6-3