── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Carreno Busta
Billy Harris
80%20%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 89% / 11%
Grass: 26% / 74%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Billy Harris
8th · poor
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Billy Harris
13th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#59
model rank
#180
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
GBR
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Billy Harris
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardQ2Pablo Carreno Busta7-5 6-3