── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Hugo Grenier
78%22%
Hard: 74% / 26%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 44% / 56%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Hugo Grenier
7th · poor
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Hugo Grenier
26th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#56
model rank
#165
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Hugo Grenier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | Villena CH | Hard | F | Pablo Carreno Busta | 4-6 6-1 6-4 |