── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 83% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Hugo Grenier
83%17%
Hard: 81% / 19%
Clay: 92% / 8%
Grass: 53% / 47%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Hugo Grenier
5th · poor
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Hugo Grenier
21th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#183
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
FRA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Hugo Grenier
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-29 | Villena CH | Hard | F | Pablo Carreno Busta | 4-6 6-1 6-4 |