── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Andrea Pellegrino
75%25%
Hard: 95% / 5%
Clay: 65% / 35%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Andrea Pellegrino
14th · poor
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Andrea Pellegrino
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#160
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ITA
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Andrea Pellegrino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings