── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Tallon Griekspoor a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Carreno Busta
Tallon Griekspoor
49%51%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 11% / 89%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#56
model rank
#52
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
NED
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pablo Carreno BustaTallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
Clay01
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-02MontpellierHardR16Tallon Griekspoor6-4 6-4
2025-03-31MarrakechClayR16Tallon Griekspoor7-6(1) 3-6 6-3
2022-01-17Australian OpenHardR64Pablo Carreno Busta6-3 6-7(6) 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4