── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Thiago Agustin Tirante
49%51%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 59% / 41%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
76th · strong
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Thiago Agustin Tirante
27th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#57
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Thiago Agustin Tirante
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-6(0) 7-5 3-6 6-4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-6(0) 7-5 3-6 6-4 |
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q1 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-6(5) 2-1 RET |