── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Carreno Busta
Francisco Comesana
62%38%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 60% / 40%
Grass: 36% / 64%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Francisco Comesana
46th · average
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Francisco Comesana
39th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#56
model rank
#108
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Pablo Carreno BustaFrancisco Comesana
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-12Valencia CHClayR32Pablo Carreno Busta6-4 6-3
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Pablo Carreno Busta6-2 7-6(3) 7-5