── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Pablo Carreno Busta
Francisco Comesana
70%30%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 45% / 55%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Francisco Comesana
42th · average
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Francisco Comesana
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#59
model rank
#139
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Francisco Comesana
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-12Valencia CHClayR32Pablo Carreno Busta6-4 6-3
2025-05-26Roland GarrosClayR128Pablo Carreno Busta6-2 7-6(3) 7-5