── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Tomas Machac
52%48%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 30% / 70%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Tomas Machac
59th · average
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Tomas Machac
60th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#64
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
CZE
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 6-2 |