── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Mariano Navone a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Mariano Navone
47%53%
Hard: 63% / 37%
Clay: 34% / 66%
Grass: 62% / 38%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Mariano Navone
33th · below avg
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Mariano Navone
96th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#50
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ARG
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Mariano Navone
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | Hard | R128 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 4-6 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Mariano Navone | 5-7 6-1 6-3 6-0 |