── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Carreno Busta
Vilius Gaubas
73%27%
Hard: 73% / 27%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 39% / 61%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Vilius Gaubas
15th · poor
Return
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Vilius Gaubas
13th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#59
model rank
#150
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
LTU
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Carreno Busta■ Vilius Gaubas
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Estoril | Clay | R32 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-1 6-3 |
| 2025-02-03 | Tenerife 1 CH | Hard | QF | Pablo Carreno Busta | 4-6 6-3 7-6(3) |