── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta a slight 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marton Fucsovics
Pablo Carreno Busta
44%56%
Hard: 45% / 55%
Clay: 43% / 57%
Grass: 83% / 17%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marton Fucsovics
53th · average
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Return
Marton Fucsovics
81th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#75
model rank
#59
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
ESP
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Marton Fucsovics■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay0–1
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Pablo Carreno Busta4-6 7-6(5) 6-2
2021-03-15DubaiHardR32Marton Fucsovics6-7(5) 6-3 6-2