── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Marton Fucsovics
Pablo Carreno Busta
49%51%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Marton Fucsovics
56th · average
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Return
Marton Fucsovics
89th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#59
model rank
#56
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
HUN
country
ESP
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Marton FucsovicsPablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay01
Hard10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR128Pablo Carreno Busta4-6 7-6(5) 6-2
2021-03-15DubaiHardR32Marton Fucsovics6-7(5) 6-3 6-2