── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 88% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Nick Kyrgios
Pablo Carreno Busta
12%88%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 81% / 19%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Nick Kyrgios
96th · elite
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Return
Nick Kyrgios
24th · below avg
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#187
model rank
#59
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
AUS
country
ESP
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Nick Kyrgios■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-13 | Halle | Grass | QF | Nick Kyrgios | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2016-01-18 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Nick Kyrgios | 6-2 7-5 6-2 |
| 2015-04-27 | Estoril | Clay | SF | Nick Kyrgios | 5-7 7-6(2) 6-3 |