── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Quentin Halys
Pablo Carreno Busta
42%58%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 42% / 58%
Grass: 80% / 20%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Quentin Halys
75th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Return
Quentin Halys
13th · poor
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#88
model rank
#56
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Quentin HalysPablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-16DohaHardR32Quentin Halys4-6 7-5 6-3
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersHardR128Quentin Halys6-3 6-4