── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Pablo Carreno Busta
49%51%
Hard: 51% / 49%
Clay: 48% / 52%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Botic Van De Zandschulp
50th · average
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Return
Botic Van De Zandschulp
86th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#62
model rank
#56
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ESP
191cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Botic Van De Zandschulp■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Dubai | Hard | Q1 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R128 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 7-6(5) 6-2 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 6-7(6) 7-6(1) 6-3 |