── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pedro Martinez
Pablo Carreno Busta
25%75%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 31% / 69%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pedro Martinez
3th · poor
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Return
Pedro Martinez
42th · average
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#153
model rank
#59
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ESP
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pedro Martinez■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–1
Hard1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | Barcelona | Clay | Q1 | Pedro Martinez | 6-3 4-3 RET |
| 2026-03-23 | Alicante CH | Clay | QF | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| 2023-10-02 | Alicante CH | Hard | R32 | Pedro Martinez | 6-3 7-5 |