── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tallon Griekspoor a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tallon Griekspoor
Pablo Carreno Busta
51%49%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 89% / 11%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Return
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#52
model rank
#56
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ESP
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tallon Griekspoor■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | R16 | Tallon Griekspoor | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Marrakech | Clay | R16 | Tallon Griekspoor | 7-6(1) 3-6 6-3 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 6-7(6) 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4 |