── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Tallon Griekspoor
Pablo Carreno Busta
46%54%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 80% / 20%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Tallon Griekspoor
83th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Return
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#70
model rank
#59
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
NED
country
ESP
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Tallon Griekspoor■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay1–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | R16 | Tallon Griekspoor | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2025-03-31 | Marrakech | Clay | R16 | Tallon Griekspoor | 7-6(1) 3-6 6-3 |
| 2022-01-17 | Australian Open | Hard | R64 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-3 6-7(6) 7-6(3) 3-6 6-4 |