── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 59% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Pablo Carreno Busta
41%59%
Hard: 21% / 79%
Clay: 49% / 51%
Grass: 54% / 46%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
36th · below avg
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Return
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
61th · average
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#97
model rank
#56
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ESP
country
ESP
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Pablo Llamas Ruiz■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-23 | Alicante CH | Clay | F | Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2025-08-25 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-6(7) 6-4 6-2 |