── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Valentin Royer
Pablo Carreno Busta
35%65%
Hard: 31% / 69%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 70% / 30%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Valentin Royer
32th · below avg
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Return
Valentin Royer
44th · average
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#114
model rank
#59
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Valentin Royer■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Canada Masters | Hard | R128 | Valentin Royer | 1-6 7-5 6-2 |