── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Pablo Carreno Busta a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Cazaux
Pablo Carreno Busta
49%51%
Hard: 46% / 54%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 76% / 24%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Cazaux
72th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Return
Arthur Cazaux
53th · average
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#61
model rank
#56
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
183cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Cazaux■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Brisbane | Hard | Q2 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 5-3 RET |
| 2024-08-26 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Arthur Cazaux | 6-1 6-3 6-3 |
| 2023-10-09 | Malaga CH | Hard | R32 | Pablo Carreno Busta | 2-6 6-4 6-3 |