── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Pablo Carreno Busta
80%20%
Hard: 76% / 24%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 84% / 16%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
93th · elite
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Return
Arthur Fils
95th · elite
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#59
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Arthur Fils | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-04-14 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Arthur Fils | 7-6(6) 6-3 |