── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Arthur Fils 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Arthur Fils
Pablo Carreno Busta
76%24%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 81% / 19%
Grass: 86% / 14%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Arthur Fils
92th · elite
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Return
Arthur Fils
84th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#56
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Arthur Fils■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Arthur Fils | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2025-04-14 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Arthur Fils | 7-6(6) 6-3 |