── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jakub Mensik 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Jakub Mensik
Pablo Carreno Busta
72%28%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Jakub Mensik
85th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Return
Jakub Mensik
77th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#13
model rank
#56
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CZE
country
ESP
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Jakub Mensik■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Jakub Mensik | 7-5 4-6 2-6 7-6(1) 6-3 |
| 2025-11-20 | Davis Cup Finals QF: ESP vs CZE | Hard | RR | Jakub Mensik | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Auckland | Hard | R32 | Jakub Mensik | 6-2 4-6 7-5 |