── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Pablo Carreno Busta
75%25%
Hard: 64% / 36%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 60% / 40%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
68th · average
Pablo Carreno Busta
48th · average
Return
Rafael Jodar
98th · elite
Pablo Carreno Busta
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#7
model rank
#59
Clay
best surface
Hard
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
ESP
—
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Wimbledon | Grass | R64 | Rafael Jodar | 3-6 6-3 1-6 6-3 6-4 |
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Rafael Jodar | 4-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2 |