── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Rafael Jodar 78% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Rafael Jodar
Pablo Carreno Busta
78%22%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 58% / 42%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Rafael Jodar
76th · strong
Pablo Carreno Busta
42th · average
Return
Rafael Jodar
96th · elite
Pablo Carreno Busta
62th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#6
model rank
#56
Clay
best surface
Clay
—
hand
Right
ESP
country
ESP
—
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Rafael Jodar■ Pablo Carreno Busta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R16 | Rafael Jodar | 4-6 4-6 6-1 6-2 6-2 |